Today's Free Pick

Model loves YRFI in Pittsburgh tonight

ARI @ PIT 10:40 PM YRFI ★ ✗

Merrill Kelly (R) vs Mitch Keller (R)

Merrill Kelly's shaky 5.00 1st-inning ERA and soft 16% strikeout rate in the opening frame give the model its way in. Confidence: HIGH. Model YRFI 70%.

1st-inn ERA 5.00

Model YRFI %

70%

Confidence: HIGH

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12 games today · 10 ★ picks revealed with subscription.

12 games · locks at first pitch · ⟳ 2026-07-28T01:16:56.343705

RFI 1 ★ 🔒Splits 3 ★ 🔒ML 0 ★ 🔒Strikeouts 2 ★ 🔒Full Game 4 ★

Time	Matchup	Pitchers	Model 1st-Inning Confidence ?NRFI vs YRFI confidence from the model. ★ tier (whether the edge clears Pinnacle fair) is subscriber-only.	Volatility ?Spread of likely 1st-inning outcomes. Lower = tighter, more reliable.	★ Tier	1st Inn

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